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The numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 are each written on separate cards - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Standard - Question 17 - 2022 - Paper 1

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The numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 are each written on separate cards. Amy has cards 1, 3 and 5 and Bob has cards 2, 4 and 6. They play a game in which each person ra... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 are each written on separate cards - HSC - SSCE Mathematics Standard - Question 17 - 2022 - Paper 1

Step 1

Complete the tree diagram

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Answer

To complete the tree diagram, we compare each of Amy's cards with Bob's cards as follows:

  • When Amy chooses card 1:

    • Bob chooses card 2: Bob wins.
    • Bob chooses card 4: Bob wins.
    • Bob chooses card 6: Bob wins.
  • When Amy chooses card 3:

    • Bob chooses card 2: Amy wins.
    • Bob chooses card 4: Bob wins.
    • Bob chooses card 6: Bob wins.
  • When Amy chooses card 5:

    • Bob chooses card 2: Amy wins.
    • Bob chooses card 4: Amy wins.
    • Bob chooses card 6: Bob wins.

The completed tree diagram is:

Amy's card    Bob's card
     1         2  B
               4  B
               6  B
     3         2  A
               4  B
               6  B
     5         2  A
               4  A
               6  B

To find the probability that Bob wins:

  • Total outcomes = 9 (3 cards from Amy × 3 cards from Bob)
  • Winning outcomes for Bob = 6.

Thus, the probability that Bob wins is:

P(Bobextwins)=69=23P(Bob ext{ wins}) = \frac{6}{9} = \frac{2}{3}

Step 2

How many times would Bob be expected to win?

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Answer

To find the expected number of times Bob would win out of 30 games, we multiply the probability of Bob winning by the number of games:

Expected wins=P(Bobextwins)×30=23×30=20\text{Expected wins} = P(Bob ext{ wins}) \times 30 = \frac{2}{3} \times 30 = 20

Therefore, Bob is expected to win 20 times.

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