Using Figures 8a, 8b and your own knowledge, how far do you agree that Thailand has achieved a demographic dividend?
* GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth rate - a measure of how fast the economy is growing. - AQA - A-Level Geography - Question 4 - 2019 - Paper 2
Question 4
Using Figures 8a, 8b and your own knowledge, how far do you agree that Thailand has achieved a demographic dividend?
* GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth rate - a ... show full transcript
Worked Solution & Example Answer:Using Figures 8a, 8b and your own knowledge, how far do you agree that Thailand has achieved a demographic dividend?
* GDP (Gross Domestic Product) growth rate - a measure of how fast the economy is growing. - AQA - A-Level Geography - Question 4 - 2019 - Paper 2
Step 1
Analysis of Figure 8a
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Answer
In 1980, Thailand's population pyramid shows a fairly even distribution across age groups, indicating a balanced demographic. By 2010, the pyramid indicates a narrowing base due to declining fertility rates, which suggests a transition towards an aging population. The projection for 2030 indicates that this trend will continue, with a significant proportion of the population moving into older age brackets.
Step 2
Analysis of Figure 8b
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The data from Figure 8b indicates a drop in the fertility rate from 3.4 in 1980 to 1.5 in 2015, aligning with the demographic transition model's stages. Life expectancy has increased significantly, suggesting improving health outcomes, which supports the notion that Thailand may be transitioning into a demographic dividend stage.
Step 3
Understanding Economic Impact
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The demographic dividend arises when a country has a large working population relative to dependents. With lower fertility rates and increased life expectancy, Thailand has a larger proportion of working-age individuals, which could boost economic productivity.
Step 4
Evaluation of Economic Data
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From 1980 to 2015, there is evidence of increased adult literacy, which enhances the workforce's productivity. However, economic growth has shown signs of stagnation post-2010, suggesting that while Thailand has potential for a demographic dividend, challenges remain in fully harnessing it.
Step 5
Conclusion
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Overall, while Thailand exhibits several characteristics of a demographic dividend as indicated by Figures 8a and 8b, economic pressures and an aging population could hinder the realization of this dividend if not addressed effectively.