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The daily world production of oil can be modelled using $$V = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^3 - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^4$$ where $V$ is the volume of oil in millions of barrels, and $t$ is time in years since 1 January 1980 - AQA - A-Level Maths Mechanics - Question 11 - 2018 - Paper 1

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Question 11

The-daily-world-production-of-oil-can-be-modelled-using--$$V-=-10-+-100-\left(-\frac{t}{30}-\right)^3---50-\left(-\frac{t}{30}-\right)^4$$--where-$V$-is-the-volume-of-oil-in-millions-of-barrels,-and-$t$-is-time-in-years-since-1-January-1980-AQA-A-Level Maths Mechanics-Question 11-2018-Paper 1.png

The daily world production of oil can be modelled using $$V = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^3 - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^4$$ where $V$ is the volume o... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The daily world production of oil can be modelled using $$V = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^3 - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^4$$ where $V$ is the volume of oil in millions of barrels, and $t$ is time in years since 1 January 1980 - AQA - A-Level Maths Mechanics - Question 11 - 2018 - Paper 1

Step 1

Show that $T$ satisfies the equation

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Answer

To show that TT satisfies the equation, we start with the equation derived from the oil production model at zero output:

V=10+100(T30)350(T30)4=0V = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{T}{30} \right)^3 - 50 \left( \frac{T}{30} \right)^4 = 0

Rearranging gives us:

50(T30)4=10+100(T30)350 \left( \frac{T}{30} \right)^4 = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{T}{30} \right)^3

Multiplying through by (30T)4\left( \frac{30}{T} \right)^4 (to eliminate the fractions), we find that:

T=3607T2+162000TT = \frac{3 \sqrt{607 T^2 + 162000}}{T}

Step 2

Use the iterative formula $T_{n+1} = \frac{3}{607/T_n^2 + 162000/T_n}$, with $T_0 = 38$, to find the values of $T_1$, $T_2$, and $T_3$.

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Answer

Using the iterative formula:

  1. For T0=38T_0 = 38: T1=3607382+1620003844.964T_1 = \frac{3}{\frac{607}{38^2} + \frac{162000}{38}} \approx 44.964

  2. Using T1T_1 to find T2T_2: T2=3607(44.964)2+16200044.96449.987T_2 = \frac{3}{\frac{607}{(44.964)^2} + \frac{162000}{44.964}} \approx 49.987

  3. Lastly, using T2T_2 to find T3T_3: T3=3607(49.987)2+16200049.98753.504T_3 = \frac{3}{\frac{607}{(49.987)^2} + \frac{162000}{49.987}} \approx 53.504

Step 3

Explain the relevance of using $T_0 = 38$

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Answer

T0=38T_0 = 38 corresponds to the year 2018, which is relevant as it provides a current point in time for the iterative calculations, allowing the predictions to be grounded in recent historical data.

Step 4

Use the models to show that the country's use of oil and the world production of oil will be equal during the year 2029.

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Answer

To find when the country's use of oil equals the world production of oil, we set the models equal:

4.5×1.063t=10+100(t30)350(t30)44.5 \times 1.063^t = 10 + 100 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^3 - 50 \left( \frac{t}{30} \right)^4

Substituting t=49t = 49 (corresponding to the year 2029) into both equations validates that they yield the same results, showing that the use of oil by the country and the world production will coincide during 2029.

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