Abu visits his local hardware store to buy six light bulbs - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 15 - 2018 - Paper 3
Question 15
Abu visits his local hardware store to buy six light bulbs.
He knows that 15% of all bulbs at this store are faulty.
15 (a) State a distribution which can be used ... show full transcript
Worked Solution & Example Answer:Abu visits his local hardware store to buy six light bulbs - AQA - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 15 - 2018 - Paper 3
Step 1
State a distribution which can be used to model the number of faulty bulbs he buys.
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Answer
The number of faulty bulbs he buys can be modeled using a binomial distribution. Specifically, the distribution can be denoted as B(n, p), where n is the number of trials (which is 6, the number of bulbs he buys) and p is the probability of success (15%, or 0.15, the probability that a bulb is faulty). Thus, we model this with B(6, 0.15).
Step 2
Find the probability that all of the bulbs he buys are faulty.
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To find the probability that all six bulbs are faulty, we use the binomial probability formula:
P(X = k) = inom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}
Substituting for 6 faulty bulbs:
P(X = 6) = inom{6}{6} (0.15)^6 (0.85)^{0} = 1 imes (0.15)^6 imes 1 = 0.0001134.
Therefore, the probability is approximately 0.000114.
Step 3
Find the probability that at least two of the bulbs he buys are faulty.
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To find the probability that at least two bulbs are faulty, we can use the complementary approach:
P(Xextatleast2)=1−P(X<2)=1−(P(X=0)+P(X=1)).
Calculating:
For no faulty bulbs:
P(X = 0) = inom{6}{0} (0.15)^0 (0.85)^6 = 1 imes 1 imes (0.85)^6 = 0.5277.
For one faulty bulb:
P(X = 1) = inom{6}{1} (0.15)^1 (0.85)^5 = 6 imes (0.15) imes (0.85)^5 = 0.3861.
Then,
P(X<2)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)=0.5277+0.3861=0.9138.
So,
P(Xextatleast2)=1−0.9138=0.0862.
Step 4
Find the mean of the distribution stated in part (a).
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Answer
The mean of a binomial distribution can be found using the formula:
extMean=nimesp
Where n is the number of trials (6) and p is the probability of success (0.15).