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Using the data in Extract G, the Net Present Value (NPV) and Payback, assess Mondelēz International's investment in Cadbury's modernisation - Edexcel - A-Level Business - Question 2 - 2018 - Paper 3

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Using the data in Extract G, the Net Present Value (NPV) and Payback, assess Mondelēz International's investment in Cadbury's modernisation. Extract G £75m investm... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:Using the data in Extract G, the Net Present Value (NPV) and Payback, assess Mondelēz International's investment in Cadbury's modernisation - Edexcel - A-Level Business - Question 2 - 2018 - Paper 3

Step 1

Payback Period

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Answer

To calculate the payback period, we first need to determine the cumulative cash flows for each year:

  • Year 1: -£75m (initial investment)
  • Year 2: £20m (cumulative: -£55m)
  • Year 3: £25m (cumulative: -£30m)
  • Year 4: £22m (cumulative: -£8m)
  • Year 5: £20m (cumulative: +£12m)

The payback period occurs after Year 3, as it takes exactly three years to recover the initial £75m investment.

Step 2

Net Present Value (NPV)

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Answer

The NPV is calculated using the formula:

NPV=t=0nCFt(1+r)tNPV = \sum_{t=0}^{n} \frac{CF_t}{(1 + r)^t}

Where:

  • CFtCF_t is the cash inflow during the period t,
  • r is the discount rate, and
  • t is the number of time periods.

Applying the cash flows and the discount rates:

  • Year 1: £(75) imes 1.0 = -75
  • Year 2: £20 imes 0.909 = 18.18
  • Year 3: £25 imes 0.826 = 20.65
  • Year 4: £22 imes 0.751 = 16.53
  • Year 5: £20 imes 0.683 = 13.66

Adding these values together:

NPV=75+18.18+20.65+16.53+13.66=£6.98mNPV = -75 + 18.18 + 20.65 + 16.53 + 13.66 = £-6.98m

This indicates a negative NPV, suggesting that the investment may not meet financial expectations.

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