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The adult population of a town is 25 000 at the end of Year 1 - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 10 - 2010 - Paper 3

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The adult population of a town is 25 000 at the end of Year 1. A model predicts that the adult population of the town will increase by 3% each year, forming a geome... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The adult population of a town is 25 000 at the end of Year 1 - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 10 - 2010 - Paper 3

Step 1

Show that the predicted adult population at the end of Year 2 is 25 750.

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Answer

To calculate the predicted adult population at the end of Year 2, we use the formula for geometric sequences:

P=P0(1+r)nP = P_0 (1 + r)^n

where P0=25000P_0 = 25000, r=0.03r = 0.03, and n=1n = 1 for Year 2,

Thus,

P=25000imes(1.03)1=25000imes1.03=25750.P = 25000 imes (1.03)^1 = 25000 imes 1.03 = 25750.

Step 2

Write down the common ratio of the geometric sequence.

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Answer

The common ratio rr of the geometric sequence is given by the annual increase. Here, since the population increases by 3% each year:

r=1+0.03=1.03.r = 1 + 0.03 = 1.03.

Step 3

Show that $(N-1) \log_{1.03} > \log_{1.6}$

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Answer

We start with the population model:

PN=P0×(1.03)N1P_N = P_0 \times (1.03)^{N-1}

Setting PN>40000P_N > 40000 gives us:

25000×(1.03)N1>40000.25000 \times (1.03)^{N-1} > 40000.

By dividing both sides by 25000:

(1.03)N1>4000025000=1.6.(1.03)^{N-1} > \frac{40000}{25000} = 1.6.

Now, applying log on both sides:

log((1.03)N1)>log(1.6).\log((1.03)^{N-1}) > \log(1.6). Using the property of logarithms:

(N1)log(1.03)>log(1.6),(N-1) \log(1.03) > \log(1.6), which simplifies to:

(N1)log1.03>log1.6.(N-1) \log_{1.03} > \log_{1.6}.

Step 4

Find the value of N.

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Answer

From the previous step, we have:

(N1)log(1.03)>log(1.6).(N-1) \log(1.03) > \log(1.6).

Now we can isolate NN:

N1>log(1.6)log(1.03)N - 1 > \frac{\log(1.6)}{\log(1.03)}

Calculating those logs using a calculator:

log(1.6)0.2041, log(1.03)0.0128.\log(1.6) \approx 0.2041, \ \log(1.03) \approx 0.0128.

Calculating:

N1>0.20410.012815.91,N - 1 > \frac{0.2041}{0.0128} \approx 15.91,

Thus, since N1N - 1 must be an integer:

N>16.91    N=17.N > 16.91 \implies N = 17.

Step 5

Find the total amount that will be given to the charity fund for the 10 years from the end of Year 1 to the end of Year 10.

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Answer

To find the total amount contributed to the charity fund:

Each year, each member of the population contributes £1. We need to calculate the population for every year from Year 1 to Year 10.

The adult population at Year N is given by:

PN=25000×(1.03)N1P_N = 25000 \times (1.03)^{N-1}

We can calculate the total amount contributed:

Total=n=110Pn=n=11025000×(1.03)n1.Total = \sum_{n=1}^{10} P_n = \sum_{n=1}^{10} 25000 \times (1.03)^{n-1}.

This is a geometric series with:

  • First term a=25000a = 25000
  • Common ratio r=1.03r = 1.03
  • Number of terms n=10n = 10.

The sum of a geometric series can be calculated using the formula:

Sn=arn1r1,S_n = a \frac{r^n - 1}{r - 1},

Thus,

Total=250001.031011.031.Total = 25000 \frac{1.03^{10} - 1}{1.03 - 1}.

Calculating:

First, find 1.03101.34391.03^{10} \approx 1.3439. Then:

Total250001.343910.0325000×11.4633286582.65.Total \approx 25000 \frac{1.3439 - 1}{0.03} \approx 25000 \times 11.4633 \approx 286582.65.

Rounding to the nearest £1 000 gives £287 000.

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