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The adult population of a town is 25 000 at the end of Year 1 - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 1 - 2010 - Paper 3

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The adult population of a town is 25 000 at the end of Year 1. A model predicts that the adult population of the town will increase by 3% each year, forming a geome... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The adult population of a town is 25 000 at the end of Year 1 - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Pure - Question 1 - 2010 - Paper 3

Step 1

Show that the predicted adult population at the end of Year 2 is 25 750.

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Answer

To calculate the predicted adult population at the end of Year 2:

The formula for the population is given by:

P=P0(1+r)P = P_0 (1 + r)

Where:

  • P0P_0 is the initial population (25,000)
  • rr is the rate of increase (0.03)

Thus, substituting in the values:

P=25000×1.03=25750P = 25000 \times 1.03 = 25750

Therefore, the predicted adult population at the end of Year 2 is indeed 25,750.

Step 2

Write down the common ratio of the geometric sequence.

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Answer

The common ratio, rr, in a geometric sequence, where the population increases by 3% each year, is:

r=1+0.03=1.03r = 1 + 0.03 = 1.03

Step 3

Show that (N - 1) log 1.03 > log 1.6.

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Answer

Starting with the population model, we have:

PNP1=(1+r)N1\frac{P_N}{P_1} = (1 + r)^{N - 1}

Given that P1=25000P_1 = 25000 and PN>40000P_N > 40000, we set up the inequality:

4000025000>(1.03)N1\frac{40000}{25000} > (1.03)^{N - 1}

This simplifies to:

1.6>(1.03)N11.6 > (1.03)^{N - 1}

Taking the logarithm of both sides yields:

log(1.6)>(N1)log(1.03)\log(1.6) > (N - 1) \log(1.03)

Rearranging gives:

(N1)log(1.03)>log(1.6)(N - 1) \log(1.03) > \log(1.6)

Step 4

Find the value of N.

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Answer

To find NN, we first rewrite the inequality found in part (c):

(N1)>log(1.6)log(1.03)(N - 1) > \frac{\log(1.6)}{\log(1.03)}

Calculating log(1.6)\log(1.6) and log(1.03)\log(1.03), we find:

  • log(1.6)0.2041\log(1.6) \approx 0.2041
  • log(1.03)0.01283\log(1.03) \approx 0.01283

Thus, substituting into the equation gives:

(N1)>0.20410.0128315.9(N - 1) > \frac{0.2041}{0.01283} \approx 15.9

This implies:

N>16.9N > 16.9

Since NN must be a whole number, N=17N = 17.

Step 5

Find the total amount that will be given to the charity fund for the 10 years.

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Answer

The total amount given to the charity fund is calculated using the sum of the populations from Year 1 to Year 10:

Let PnP_n represent the population at the end of Year n. Each year, the population is:

Pn=25000×(1.03)n1P_n = 25000 \times (1.03)^{n-1}

The total over 10 years can be computed as:

Total=n=110Pn=25000×n=09(1.03)n\text{Total} = \sum_{n=1}^{10} P_n = 25000 \times \sum_{n=0}^{9} (1.03)^n.

The sum of a geometric series can be calculated as:

Sn=a(1rn)(1r)S_n = a \frac{(1 - r^n)}{(1 - r)}

Using a=1a = 1, r=1.03r = 1.03, and n=10n = 10:

=1(1.03)1011.03=11.34390.0311.464\sum = \frac{1 - (1.03)^{10}}{1 - 1.03} = \frac{1 - 1.3439}{-0.03} \approx 11.464

So,

Total Amount=25000×11.464286,600\text{Total Amount} = 25000 \times 11.464 \approx 286,600

Rounding to the nearest £1,000, the final answer is approximately £287,000.

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