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The heights of a group of athletes are modelled by a normal distribution with mean 180 cm and a standard deviation 5.2 cm - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2006 - Paper 1

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The heights of a group of athletes are modelled by a normal distribution with mean 180 cm and a standard deviation 5.2 cm. The weights of this group of athletes are ... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The heights of a group of athletes are modelled by a normal distribution with mean 180 cm and a standard deviation 5.2 cm - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2006 - Paper 1

Step 1

is taller than 188 cm.

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Answer

To find the probability that a randomly selected athlete is taller than 188 cm, we start by defining the height variable:

Let HH be the height of athletes, so HN(180,5.22)H \sim N(180, 5.2^2).

We need to find: P(H > 188) = P\left(Z > \frac{188 - 180}{5.2}\right)\text{, where } Z \text{ is a standard normal variable.}\ Calculating this:

  1. Standardize the variable: Z=1881805.2=85.21.5385Z = \frac{188 - 180}{5.2} = \frac{8}{5.2} \approx 1.5385

  2. Use standard normal distribution tables or a calculator to find: P(Z>1.5385)0.0618P(Z > 1.5385) \approx 0.0618 (using a standard normal distribution table).

Therefore, the probability that a randomly chosen athlete is taller than 188 cm is approximately 0.0618.

Step 2

weighs less than 97 kg.

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Answer

Next, we need to find the probability that a randomly selected athlete weighs less than 97 kg.

Let WW be the weight of athletes, so WN(85,7.12)W \sim N(85, 7.1^2).

We need to find: P(W < 97) = P\left(Z < \frac{97 - 85}{7.1}\right)\text{, where } Z \text{ is a standard normal variable.}\ Calculating this:

  1. Standardize the variable: Z=97857.1=127.11.6901Z = \frac{97 - 85}{7.1} = \frac{12}{7.1} \approx 1.6901

  2. Use standard normal distribution tables or a calculator to find: P(Z<1.6901)0.9545P(Z < 1.6901) \approx 0.9545.

Hence, the probability that a randomly chosen athlete weighs less than 97 kg is approximately 0.9545.

Step 3

Assuming that for these athletes height and weight are independent, find the probability that a randomly chosen athlete is taller than 188 cm and weighs more than 97 kg.

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Answer

To find this combined probability, we will use the results from parts (a) and (b).

We know:

  • P(H>188)0.0618P(H > 188) \approx 0.0618 (from part (a))
  • P(W>97)=1P(W<97)10.9545=0.0455P(W > 97) = 1 - P(W < 97) \approx 1 - 0.9545 = 0.0455 (from part (b)).

Since height and weight are independent:

The combined probability is: P(H>188 and W>97)=P(H>188)×P(W>97)P(H > 188 \text{ and } W > 97) = P(H > 188) \times P(W > 97)

i.e., P(H>188 and W>97)0.0618×0.04550.00281P(H > 188 \text{ and } W > 97) \approx 0.0618 \times 0.0455 \approx 0.00281.

Thus, the probability that a randomly chosen athlete is taller than 188 cm and weighs more than 97 kg is approximately 0.00281.

Step 4

Comment on the assumption that height and weight are independent.

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Answer

The assumption of independence between height and weight is not sensible. Evidence suggests that height and weight are positively correlated. Typically, taller individuals tend to weigh more, primarily due to a larger body mass. Therefore, assuming these two variables to be independent can lead to inaccurate calculations and interpretations regarding the characteristics of athletes.

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