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A group of climbers collected information about the height above sea level, $h$ metres, and the air temperature, $t^ ext{C}$, at the same time at 8 different points on the same mountain - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 6 - 2018 - Paper 1

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A group of climbers collected information about the height above sea level, $h$ metres, and the air temperature, $t^ ext{C}$, at the same time at 8 different points ... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A group of climbers collected information about the height above sea level, $h$ metres, and the air temperature, $t^ ext{C}$, at the same time at 8 different points on the same mountain - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 6 - 2018 - Paper 1

Step 1

Show that $S_h = -17501.25$ and $S_t = 227.875$

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Answer

To find ShS_h and StS_t, we apply the formulae:

Sh=h2(h)2nS_h = \sum h^2 - \frac{(\sum h)^2}{n}

St=t2(t)2nS_t = \sum t^2 - \frac{(\sum t)^2}{n}

Substituting the values:

For ShS_h: Sh=31070(6370)28=3107023071.25=17501.25S_h = 31070 - \frac{(6370)^2}{8} = 31070 - 23071.25 = -17501.25

For StS_t: St=693(61)28=693466.125=227.875S_t = 693 - \frac{(61)^2}{8} = 693 - 466.125 = 227.875

Step 2

State, giving a reason, whether or not this value supports the use of a regression equation to predict the air temperature at different heights on this mountain.

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Answer

The correlation coefficient r=0.985r = -0.985 is very close to -1. This strong negative correlation indicates a linear relationship between height and air temperature, supporting the use of a regression equation.

Step 3

Find the equation of the regression line of $t$ on $h$, giving your answer in the form $t = a + bh$. Give the value of your coefficients to 3 significant figures.

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Answer

Using the formula for the regression coefficients:

b=ShtShb = \frac{S_{ht}}{S_h}

With Sht=985.00S_{ht} = -985.00 and using the calculated ShS_h value:

b=985.0017501.250.0563b = \frac{-985.00}{-17501.25} \approx 0.0563. Thus, rounded to three significant figures, we have b0.0563 b \approx 0.0563.

Next, we find aa:

a=tbha = \overline{t} - b \overline{h}

Calculating: t=618,h=63708\overline{t} = \frac{61}{8}, \overline{h} = \frac{6370}{8}, and substituting:

a=7.6250.0563796.250.0201a = 7.625 - 0.0563 \cdot 796.25 \approx -0.0201

Thus, the regression line is:

t=0.0201+0.0563ht = -0.0201 + 0.0563h.

Step 4

Give an interpretation of your value of $a$.

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Answer

The value of a0.0201a \approx -0.0201 represents the estimated air temperature at sea level. This means that at a height of 0 metres, the air temperature is predicted to be approximately -0.0201 degrees Celsius.

Step 5

Estimate the drop in temperature over this 150 metre climb.

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Answer

To estimate the drop in temperature, we use the slope bb calculated previously:

Drop in temperatureb×Δh=0.0563×1508.45\text{Drop in temperature} \approx b \times \Delta h = 0.0563 \times 150 \approx 8.45

Hence, the estimated drop in temperature during the climb is approximately 8.45 degrees Celsius.

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