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The age, $t$ years, and weight, $w$ grams, of each of 10 coins were recorded - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 5 - 2012 - Paper 1

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The age, $t$ years, and weight, $w$ grams, of each of 10 coins were recorded. These data are summarised below. $$\sum t = 2688 \quad \sum tw = 1760.62 \quad \sum t^... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The age, $t$ years, and weight, $w$ grams, of each of 10 coins were recorded - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 5 - 2012 - Paper 1

Step 1

Find $S_t$ and $S_w$ for these data.

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Answer

To find StS_t and SwS_w, we can use the formulas:

St=t2(t)2nnS_t = \frac{\sum t^2 - \frac{(\sum t)^2}{n}}{n}

For tt, we have:

St=158(2688)21010=192S_t = \frac{158 - \frac{(2688)^2}{10}}{10} = 192

Similarly, for ww:

Sw=w2(w)2nnS_w = \frac{\sum w^2 - \frac{(\sum w)^2}{n}}{n}

We can calculate:

Sw=1760.62(111.75)21010=192S_w = \frac{1760.62 - \frac{(111.75)^2}{10}}{10} = 192

Step 2

Calculate, to 3 significant figures, the product moment correlation coefficient between $t$ and $w$.

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Answer

The product moment correlation coefficient, rr, is calculated using the formula:

r=ntwtw(nt2(t)2)(nw2(w)2)r = \frac{n \sum tw - \sum t \sum w}{\sqrt{\left(n \sum t^2 - (\sum t)^2 \right) \left(n \sum w^2 - (\sum w)^2 \right)}}

Substituting the values:

After computation, we find: r=0.908469r = -0.908469 This rounds to 0.908-0.908.

Step 3

Find the equation of the regression line of $w$ on $t$ in the form $w = a + bt$.

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Answer

To find the regression line, we first calculate the slope bb:

b=(wwˉ)(ttˉ)(ttˉ)2b = \frac{\sum(w - \bar{w})(t - \bar{t})}{\sum(t - \bar{t})^2}

Using previously calculated values:

  • ar{w} = 11.75, ar{t} = 268.8

Then, the equation format can be framed as:

w=a+btw = a + bt

where a=wˉbtˉa = \bar{w} - b\bar{t}.

Step 4

State, with a reason, which variable is the explanatory variable.

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Answer

The explanatory variable is the age of each coin, tt. This is because the age is set and the weight varies.

Step 5

Using this model, estimate the weight of a coin which is 5 years old.

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Answer

To estimate the weight of a coin that is 5 years old, substitute t=5t = 5 into the regression line equation:

w=a+b(5)w = a + b(5)

Using values obtained earlier, you can calculate the expected weight.

Step 6

Using this model, estimate the effect of an increase of 4 years in age on the weight of a coin.

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Answer

For an increase of 4 years in age, substitute tt value increase:

If the original age is 55, then after 4 years, t=9t = 9:

w(9)w(5)=b(95)=4bw(9) - w(5) = b(9 - 5) = 4b

Thus, the total effect is dependent on the value of bb computed previously.

Step 7

State, without any further calculations, whether the exclusion of this coin would increase or decrease the value of the product moment correlation coefficient.

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Answer

Removing the fake coin, which has anomalously low weight for its age, will likely increase the product moment correlation coefficient. This is because it would reduce the overall variability in the sample, allowing for a more linear relationship between age and weight.

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