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The distances travelled to work, D km, by the employees at a large company are normally distributed with D ~ N(30, 8²) - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 2

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The distances travelled to work, D km, by the employees at a large company are normally distributed with D ~ N(30, 8²). (a) Find the probability that a randomly sel... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The distances travelled to work, D km, by the employees at a large company are normally distributed with D ~ N(30, 8²) - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 2

Step 1

Find the probability that a randomly selected employee has a journey to work of more than 20 km.

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Answer

To find this probability, we first standardize the value of 20 km using the mean and standard deviation of the distribution.

Using the formula: Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} where XX is the value (20 km), μ\mu is the mean (30 km), and σ\sigma is the standard deviation (8), we calculate:

Z=20308=108=1.25Z = \frac{20 - 30}{8} = \frac{-10}{8} = -1.25

Now, we find the probability:

P(D>20)=P(Z>1.25)=1P(Z<1.25)=10.8944=0.1056P(D > 20) = P(Z > -1.25) = 1 - P(Z < -1.25) = 1 - 0.8944 = 0.1056

Thus, the probability that a randomly selected employee has a journey to work of more than 20 km is approximately 0.1056.

Step 2

Find the upper quartile, Q3, of D.

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Answer

The upper quartile, Q3, is the value below which 75% of the data fall. To find Q3, we first find the Z-score for the 75th percentile:

From Z-tables or using a standard normal calculator, we find:

Z75=0.675Z_{75} = 0.675

Using the formula for inverse transformation: Q3=μ+ZσQ3 = \mu + Z * \sigma Substituting the values: Q3=30+0.6758=30+5.4=35.4Q3 = 30 + 0.675 * 8 = 30 + 5.4 = 35.4

Therefore, Q3 is approximately 35.4 km.

Step 3

Write down the lower quartile, Q1, of D.

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Answer

The lower quartile, Q1, is the value below which 25% of the data fall. Finding the Z-score for the 25th percentile:

From Z-tables, we have: Z25=0.675Z_{25} = -0.675

Using the inverse transformation: Q1=μ+ZσQ1 = \mu + Z * \sigma Substituting the values: Q1=30+(0.675)8=305.4=24.6Q1 = 30 + (-0.675) * 8 = 30 - 5.4 = 24.6

Thus, Q1 is approximately 24.6 km.

Step 4

Find the value of h and the value of k.

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Answer

To find h and k, we will use the formulas:

  1. Calculate Q3 - Q1: Q3Q1=35.424.6=10.8Q3 - Q1 = 35.4 - 24.6 = 10.8
  2. Calculate h: h=Q11.5×(Q3Q1)=24.61.5×10.8=24.616.2=8.4h = Q1 - 1.5 × (Q3 - Q1) = 24.6 - 1.5 × 10.8 = 24.6 - 16.2 = 8.4
  3. Calculate k: k=Q3+1.5×(Q3Q1)=35.4+1.5×10.8=35.4+16.2=51.6k = Q3 + 1.5 × (Q3 - Q1) = 35.4 + 1.5 × 10.8 = 35.4 + 16.2 = 51.6

Thus, hh is 8.4 and kk is 51.6.

Step 5

Find the probability that the distance travelled to work by this employee is an outlier.

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Answer

An outlier is defined as a distance DD such that D<hD < h or D>kD > k. We calculated:

  • h=8.4h = 8.4
  • k=51.6k = 51.6.

Now, we need to find: P(D<8.4)+P(D>51.6)P(D < 8.4) + P(D > 51.6) Using standardization:

  1. For D<8.4D < 8.4: Zh=8.4308=2.675Z_h = \frac{8.4 - 30}{8} = -2.675 So, P(Z<2.675)0.0037P(Z < -2.675) \approx 0.0037.
  2. For D>51.6D > 51.6: Zk=51.6308=2.675Z_k = \frac{51.6 - 30}{8} = 2.675 Thus, P(Z>2.675)0.0037P(Z > 2.675) \approx 0.0037 (symmetry of normal distribution).

Now, adding both probabilities: P(D<8.4)+P(D>51.6)=0.0037+0.0037=0.007P(D < 8.4) + P(D > 51.6) = 0.0037 + 0.0037 = 0.007.

Thus, the probability that the distance travelled to work by this employee is an outlier is approximately 0.007.

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