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The distances travelled to work, D km, by the employees at a large company are normally distributed with D ~ N(30, 8²) - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 2

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The distances travelled to work, D km, by the employees at a large company are normally distributed with D ~ N(30, 8²). (a) Find the probability that a randomly sel... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The distances travelled to work, D km, by the employees at a large company are normally distributed with D ~ N(30, 8²) - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 2

Step 1

Find the probability that a randomly selected employee has a journey to work of more than 20 km.

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Answer

To find the probability that D > 20, first standardize the value using the formula:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

where X is 20, \mu is 30, and \sigma is 8:

Z=20308=108=1.25Z = \frac{20 - 30}{8} = \frac{-10}{8} = -1.25

Now, we can find the probability:

P(D>20)=P(Z>1.25)=1P(Z1.25)P(D > 20) = P(Z > -1.25) = 1 - P(Z \leq -1.25)

Using the Z-table or calculator, we find:

P(Z1.25)0.8944P(Z \leq -1.25) \approx 0.8944
Therefore,

P(D>20)10.8944=0.1056P(D > 20) \approx 1 - 0.8944 = 0.1056

So, the probability is approximately 0.8944.

Step 2

Find the upper quartile, Q₃, of D.

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Answer

The upper quartile Q₃ is obtained using the formula:

Q3=μ+Z0.75×σQ₃ = \mu + Z_{0.75} \times \sigma

Where Z_{0.75} is approximately 0.674 (for the 75th percentile). Substituting the values:

Q3=30+0.674×8=30+5.392=35.4Q₃ = 30 + 0.674 \times 8 = 30 + 5.392 = 35.4

Thus, Q₃ is approximately 35.4.

Step 3

Write down the lower quartile, Q₁, of D.

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Answer

The lower quartile Q₁ can be found similarly:

Q1=μ+Z0.25×σQ₁ = \mu + Z_{0.25} \times \sigma

Where Z_{0.25} is about -0.674. Therefore:

Q1=30+(0.674)×8=305.392=24.608Q₁ = 30 + (-0.674) \times 8 = 30 - 5.392 = 24.608

So, Q₁ is approximately 24.6.

Step 4

Find the value of h and the value of k.

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Answer

To find h and k, we use the formulas:

h=Q11.5×(Q3Q1)\n=24.6081.5×(35.424.608)\n=24.6081.5×10.792\n=24.60816.188=8.42h = Q₁ - 1.5 \times (Q₃ - Q₁)\n= 24.608 - 1.5 \times (35.4 - 24.608)\n= 24.608 - 1.5 \times 10.792\n= 24.608 - 16.188 = 8.42

And for k:

k=Q3+1.5×(Q3Q1)\n=35.4+1.5×(35.424.608)\n=35.4+1.5×10.792\n=35.4+16.188=51.588k = Q₃ + 1.5 \times (Q₃ - Q₁)\n= 35.4 + 1.5 \times (35.4 - 24.608)\n= 35.4 + 1.5 \times 10.792\n= 35.4 + 16.188 = 51.588

Therefore, h is approximately 8.42 and k is approximately 51.59.

Step 5

Find the probability that the distance travelled to work by this employee is an outlier.

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Answer

An outlier occurs if D < h or D > k. Therefore, we need to find:

P(D<8.42)+P(D>51.59)P(D < 8.42) + P(D > 51.59)

For D < 8.42, we standardize:

Z=8.42308=2.6775Z = \frac{8.42 - 30}{8} = -2.6775

Looking up this value, we find:

P(Z<2.6775)0.003P(Z < -2.6775) \approx 0.003

For D > 51.59:

Z=51.59308=2.67375Z = \frac{51.59 - 30}{8} = 2.67375

Looking this value up, we find:

P(Z>2.67375)0.003P(Z > 2.67375) \approx 0.003

Finally, the total probability is:

P(D<8.42)+P(D>51.59)0.003+0.003=0.006P(D < 8.42) + P(D > 51.59) \approx 0.003 + 0.003 = 0.006

Thus, the probability that the distance travelled to work by the employee is an outlier is approximately 0.006.

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