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The distances travelled to work, D km, by the employees at a large company are normally distributed with $D \sim N(30, 8^2)$ - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 2

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The distances travelled to work, D km, by the employees at a large company are normally distributed with $D \sim N(30, 8^2)$. (a) Find the probability that a rand... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The distances travelled to work, D km, by the employees at a large company are normally distributed with $D \sim N(30, 8^2)$ - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 2

Step 1

Find the probability that a randomly selected employee has a journey to work of more than 20 km.

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Answer

To find the required probability, we need to standardize the value of 20 km using the mean and standard deviation:

Z=Xμσ=20308=1.25Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{20 - 30}{8} = -1.25

Now, we look for the probability:

P(D>20)=P(Z>1.25)=1P(Z1.25)P(D > 20) = P(Z > -1.25) = 1 - P(Z \leq -1.25)

Using a standard normal distribution table: P(Z1.25)0.8944P(Z \leq -1.25) \approx 0.8944

Thus: P(D>20)0.1056P(D > 20) \approx 0.1056

Step 2

Find the upper quartile, $Q_3$, of D.

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Answer

The upper quartile, Q3Q_3, is found at the 75th percentile of the normal distribution. Using the properties of the normal distribution:

Q3=μ+zσQ_3 = \mu + z \cdot \sigma

For zz corresponding to 0.75, approximately 0.674: Q3=30+0.6748=35.39Q_3 = 30 + 0.674 \cdot 8 = 35.39

Thus, Q335.4Q_3 \approx 35.4.

Step 3

Write down the lower quartile, $Q_1$, of D.

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Answer

The lower quartile, Q1Q_1, is at the 25th percentile: Using the property: Q1=μ+zσQ_1 = \mu + z \cdot \sigma For zz corresponding to 0.25, approximately -0.674: Q1=300.6748=24.61Q_1 = 30 - 0.674 \cdot 8 = 24.61

Thus, Q124.6Q_1 \approx 24.6.

Step 4

Find the value of h and the value of k.

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Answer

To find hh and kk:

  1. Calculate hh: h=Q11.5(Q3Q1)h = Q_1 - 1.5(Q_3 - Q_1) h=24.61.5(35.424.6)=24.616.2=8.4h = 24.6 - 1.5(35.4 - 24.6) = 24.6 - 16.2 = 8.4

  2. Calculate kk: k=Q3+1.5(Q3Q1)k = Q_3 + 1.5(Q_3 - Q_1) k=35.4+1.5(35.424.6)=35.4+16.2=51.6k = 35.4 + 1.5(35.4 - 24.6) = 35.4 + 16.2 = 51.6

Thus, h8.4h \approx 8.4 and k51.6k \approx 51.6.

Step 5

Find the probability that the distance travelled to work by this employee is an outlier.

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Answer

To find this probability:

  1. Calculate the probabilities: P(D<h)    P(D<8.4)P(D < h) \implies P(D < 8.4) =P(Z<8.4308)=P(Z<2.675)0.0035= P\left(Z < \frac{8.4 - 30}{8}\right) = P(Z < -2.675) \approx 0.0035

  2. Calculate: P(D>k)    P(D>51.6)P(D > k) \implies P(D > 51.6) =P(Z>51.6308)=P(Z>2.675)0.0035= P\left(Z > \frac{51.6 - 30}{8}\right) = P(Z > 2.675) \approx 0.0035

  3. Therefore: P(D<h or D>k)0.0035+0.00350.007P(D < h \text{ or } D > k) \approx 0.0035 + 0.0035 \approx 0.007

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