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The heights of a population of women are normally distributed with mean μ cm and standard deviation σ cm - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 1

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The heights of a population of women are normally distributed with mean μ cm and standard deviation σ cm. It is known that 30% of the women are taller than 172 cm an... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The heights of a population of women are normally distributed with mean μ cm and standard deviation σ cm - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 1

Step 1

Sketch a diagram to show the distribution of heights represented by this information.

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Answer

To sketch the distribution of heights, draw a bell-shaped curve (normal distribution).

  • Mark the mean (μ) on the horizontal axis.
  • Indicate the point at 154 cm, where 5% of the population lies. This is the left tail of the distribution.
  • Indicate the point at 172 cm, where 30% of the population lies to the right; thus, 70% of the population is to the left of this point.
  • Shade the areas corresponding to 5% and 30% to illustrate these probabilities.

Step 2

Show that μ = 154 + 1.6449σ.

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Answer

We know that 5% is below 154 cm. Therefore, using the z-score formula:

P(X<154)=0.05P(X < 154) = 0.05

Using the z-score for 0.05 (which is approximately -1.6449):

z=Xμσz = \frac{X - μ}{σ} implies that:

154μ=1.6449σ154 - μ = -1.6449σ

Rearranging gives:

μ=154+1.6449σ.μ = 154 + 1.6449σ.

This establishes the equation.

Step 3

Obtain a second equation and hence find the value of μ and the value of σ.

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Answer

For the 172 cm measurement, we know that:

P(X>172)=0.30P(X > 172) = 0.30

Thus,

P(X<172)=0.70P(X < 172) = 0.70.

Using the z-score for 0.70, we find it to be approximately 0.524:

P(X<172)=0.70P(X < 172) = 0.70 gives:

z=172μσz = \frac{172 - μ}{σ}

This results in:

172μ=0.524σ,172 - μ = 0.524σ, which simplifies to:

μ=1720.524σ.μ = 172 - 0.524σ.

Now we have two equations:

  1. μ=154+1.6449σμ = 154 + 1.6449σ
  2. μ=1720.524σμ = 172 - 0.524σ

Setting these equal to each other:

154+1.6449σ=1720.524σ154 + 1.6449σ = 172 - 0.524σ

Solving gives:

2.1684σ=18σ8.302.1684σ = 18 \\ σ ≈ 8.30

Substituting back to find μ:

μ=154+1.6449(8.30)167.65.μ = 154 + 1.6449(8.30) ≈ 167.65.

Step 4

Find the probability that she is taller than 160 cm.

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Answer

To find the probability that a woman is taller than 160 cm, we use:

P(X>160)=P(Z>160μσ)P(X > 160) = P(Z > \frac{160 - μ}{σ})

Substituting our values:

Z=160167.658.30Z = \frac{160 - 167.65}{8.30}

Now calculate Z:

Z0.91Z ≈ -0.91

We then find:

P(Z>0.91)=1P(Z<0.91)P(Z > -0.91) = 1 - P(Z < -0.91)

Using standard normal distribution tables, we find:

P(Z<0.91)0.1815P(Z < -0.91) ≈ 0.1815

Thus,

P(X>160)=10.1815=0.8185.P(X > 160) = 1 - 0.1815 = 0.8185.
This gives a probability of approximately 0.82.

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