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A manufacturer fills jars with coffee - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2012 - Paper 1

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A manufacturer fills jars with coffee. The weight of coffee, W grams, in a jar can be modelled by a normal distribution with mean 232 grams and standard deviation 5 ... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A manufacturer fills jars with coffee - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2012 - Paper 1

Step 1

Find P(W < 224)

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Answer

To calculate P(W < 224), we first standardize the variable W:

Z=Wμσ=2242325=85=1.6Z = \frac{W - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{224 - 232}{5} = \frac{-8}{5} = -1.6

Next, we look up the value of P(Z < -1.6) in the standard normal distribution table:

Using the table, we find:

P(Z<1.6)0.0548P(Z < -1.6) \approx 0.0548

Thus,

P(W<224)0.0548P(W < 224) \approx 0.0548.

Step 2

Find the value of w such that P(232 < W < w) = 0.20

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Answer

To find the value of w, we need to determine the Z-value that corresponds to the cumulative probability of 0.80 (since P(232 < W < w) implies we are looking at the upper tail):

Using the Z-table, we find:

P(Z<z)=0.80z0.84P(Z < z) = 0.80 \Rightarrow z \approx 0.84

Using standardization, we set up the equation:

z=w2325=0.84z = \frac{w - 232}{5} = 0.84

Solving for w:

\Rightarrow w = 232 + 4.2 = 236.2$$ Hence, $$w \approx 236.2$$.

Step 3

Find the probability that only one of the jars contains between 232 grams and w grams of coffee.

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Answer

Let p be the probability that a single jar contains between 232 and w grams:

p=P(232<W<w)=0.20p = P(232 < W < w) = 0.20
This implies the probability of not being within this range is:

q=1p=0.80q = 1 - p = 0.80

The scenario of only one jar containing between 232 grams and w grams can occur in two ways:

  1. The first jar is within the range, and the second is not.
  2. The first jar is not within the range, and the second is.

Thus, the total probability is:

P(only one)=2×p×q=2×0.20×0.80=0.32P(\text{only one}) = 2 \times p \times q = 2 \times 0.20 \times 0.80 = 0.32

So, the probability that only one jar contains between 232 grams and w grams of coffee is:

P(only one)0.32P(\text{only one}) \approx 0.32.

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