A darts team is going to play a match on Saturday and on Sunday - Edexcel - GCSE Maths - Question 16 - 2018 - Paper 2
Question 16
A darts team is going to play a match on Saturday and on Sunday.
The probability that the team will win on Saturday is 0.45.
If they win on Saturday, the probabilit... show full transcript
Worked Solution & Example Answer:A darts team is going to play a match on Saturday and on Sunday - Edexcel - GCSE Maths - Question 16 - 2018 - Paper 2
Step 1
Complete the probability tree diagram.
96%
114 rated
Only available for registered users.
Sign up now to view full answer, or log in if you already have an account!
Answer
For the probability tree diagram:
On Saturday, the probability of winning is 0.45, and of not winning is 0.55.
If they win on Saturday, the probability of winning on Sunday is 0.67, and of not winning is 0.33.
If they do not win on Saturday, the probability of winning on Sunday is 0.35, and of not winning is 0.65.
Thus, the complete probabilities are:
Win on Saturday, Win on Sunday: 0.45∗0.67=0.3015 (approximately 0.30)
Win on Saturday, Not Win on Sunday: 0.45∗0.33=0.1485 (approximately 0.15)
Not Win on Saturday, Win on Sunday: 0.55∗0.35=0.1925 (approximately 0.19)
Not Win on Saturday, Not Win on Sunday: 0.55∗0.65=0.3575 (approximately 0.36)
Step 2
Find the probability that the team will win exactly one of the two matches.
99%
104 rated
Only available for registered users.
Sign up now to view full answer, or log in if you already have an account!
Answer
To find the probability of winning exactly one match, we consider two scenarios:
Winning on Saturday and not winning on Sunday:
Probability = 0.45∗0.33=0.1485
Not winning on Saturday and winning on Sunday:
Probability = 0.55∗0.35=0.1925
Now, we add these two probabilities together to find the total probability of winning exactly one match:
extTotalProbability=0.1485+0.1925=0.341
Thus, the probability that the team will win exactly one of the two matches is 0.341.