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A darts team is going to play a match on Saturday and on Sunday - Edexcel - GCSE Maths - Question 16 - 2018 - Paper 2

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A darts team is going to play a match on Saturday and on Sunday. The probability that the team will win on Saturday is 0.45. If they win on Saturday, the probabilit... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A darts team is going to play a match on Saturday and on Sunday - Edexcel - GCSE Maths - Question 16 - 2018 - Paper 2

Step 1

Complete the probability tree diagram.

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Answer

For the probability tree diagram:

  • On Saturday, the probability of winning is 0.45, and of not winning is 0.55.
  • If they win on Saturday, the probability of winning on Sunday is 0.67, and of not winning is 0.33.
  • If they do not win on Saturday, the probability of winning on Sunday is 0.35, and of not winning is 0.65.

Thus, the complete probabilities are:

  • Win on Saturday, Win on Sunday: 0.450.67=0.30150.45 * 0.67 = 0.3015 (approximately 0.30)
  • Win on Saturday, Not Win on Sunday: 0.450.33=0.14850.45 * 0.33 = 0.1485 (approximately 0.15)
  • Not Win on Saturday, Win on Sunday: 0.550.35=0.19250.55 * 0.35 = 0.1925 (approximately 0.19)
  • Not Win on Saturday, Not Win on Sunday: 0.550.65=0.35750.55 * 0.65 = 0.3575 (approximately 0.36)

Step 2

Find the probability that the team will win exactly one of the two matches.

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Answer

To find the probability of winning exactly one match, we consider two scenarios:

  1. Winning on Saturday and not winning on Sunday:

    • Probability = 0.450.33=0.14850.45 * 0.33 = 0.1485
  2. Not winning on Saturday and winning on Sunday:

    • Probability = 0.550.35=0.19250.55 * 0.35 = 0.1925

Now, we add these two probabilities together to find the total probability of winning exactly one match:

extTotalProbability=0.1485+0.1925=0.341 ext{Total Probability} = 0.1485 + 0.1925 = 0.341

Thus, the probability that the team will win exactly one of the two matches is 0.341.

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