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A bag contains 100 pencils that are either red or green - OCR - GCSE Maths - Question 11 - 2019 - Paper 1

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A bag contains 100 pencils that are either red or green. Describe a method you could use to estimate the number of red pencils in the bag without looking into the b... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A bag contains 100 pencils that are either red or green - OCR - GCSE Maths - Question 11 - 2019 - Paper 1

Step 1

Step 1: Select a Pencil Randomly

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Answer

Firstly, take one pencil out of the bag without looking at it. Record the color of this pencil.

Step 2

Step 2: Repeat the Process

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Answer

Put the pencil back into the bag, and repeat the process multiple times, say 30 times. Each time, note down the color of the pencil taken out.

Step 3

Step 3: Calculate the Proportions

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Answer

After completing the trials, calculate the proportion of red pencils by dividing the number of red pencils drawn by the total number of pencils drawn. If R is the number of red pencils drawn and T is the total number drawn, then the proportion of red pencils can be expressed as:

Pred=RTP_{red} = \frac{R}{T}

Step 4

Step 4: Estimate the Total Number of Red Pencils

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To estimate the total number of red pencils in the bag, multiply the total number of pencils in the bag (100) by the calculated proportion of red pencils:

Estimated Red Pencils=100×PredEstimated\ Red\ Pencils = 100 \times P_{red}

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