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20.1.3 PGFs of Sums & Transformations

Introduction

Probability Generating Functions (PGFs) are not only useful for analyzing individual random variables but also for understanding the behaviour of sums and transformations of random variables. For example, the PGF of the sum of independent random variables is the product of their PGFs.

This note covers:

  1. PGFs of sums of independent random variables.
  2. Transformations of random variables using PGFs.
  3. Worked examples to apply these principles.

PGFs of Sums of Independent Random Variables

If XX and YY are independent random variables, and Z=X+YZ = X + Y, the PGF of ZZ is:

GZ(t)=GX(t)×GY(t)G_Z(t) = G_X(t) \times G_Y(t)

where:

  • GX(t)G_X(t): PGF of XX
  • GY(t)G_Y(t): PGF of YY
  • GZ(t)G_Z(t): PGF of ZZ This principle generalises to the sum of nn independent random variables:
GSn(t)=i=1nGXi(t)G_{S_n}(t) = \prod_{i=1}^n G_{X_i}(t)

where Sn=X1+X2++XnS_n = X_1 + X_2 + \dots + X_n and XiX_i are independent.

Transformations of Random Variables

For transformations of a random variable XX:

  1. Scaling: If Z=aXZ = aX, then:
GZ(t)=GX(ta)G_Z(t) = G_X(t^a)
  1. Shifted Sum: If Z=X+cZ = X + c, where cc is a constant, then:
GZ(t)=tcGX(t)G_Z(t) = t^c G_X(t)

These transformations allow for adjustments to the PGF to account for scaling or shifts.

Mean and Variance of Sums

The properties of PGFs also apply to sums:

Mean of Z=X+YZ = X + Y

E[Z]=E[X]+E[Y]\mathbb{E}[Z] = \mathbb{E}[X] + \mathbb{E}[Y]

Variance of Z=X+YZ = X + Y (independent XX and YY)

Var(Z)=Var(X)+Var(Y)\text{Var}(Z) = \text{Var}(X) + \text{Var}(Y)

Worked Examples

infoNote

Example 1: PGF of the Sum of Independent Poisson Random Variables


Problem

Suppose XPo(λ1)X \sim \text{Po}(\lambda_1) and YPo(λ2)Y \sim \text{Po}(\lambda_2) are independent.

Find the PGF of Z=X+YZ=X+Y


Step 1: Write the PGFs of XX and YY

The PGF for a Poisson random variable XPo(λ)X \sim \text{Po}(\lambda) is:

GX(t)=eλ(t1)G_X(t) = e^{\lambda(t-1)}

For XPo(λ1)X \sim \text{Po}(\lambda_1) and YPo(λ2)Y \sim \text{Po}(\lambda_2), the PGFs are:

GX(t)=eλ1(t1),GY(t)=eλ2(t1)G_X(t) = e^{\lambda_1(t-1)}, \quad G_Y(t) = e^{\lambda_2(t-1)}

Step 2: Find the PGF of Z=X+YZ=X+Y

Since Z=X+YZ=X+Y and XX and YY are independent, the PGF of ZZ is:

GZ(t)=GX(t)×GY(t)G_Z(t) = G_X(t) \times G_Y(t)

Substitute:

GZ(t)=eλ1(t1)×eλ2(t1)G_Z(t) = e^{\lambda_1(t-1)} \times e^{\lambda_2(t-1)}

Simplify:

GZ(t)=e(λ1+λ2)(t1)G_Z(t) = e^{(\lambda_1 + \lambda_2)(t-1)}

Final Answer:

The PGF of ZZ is:

GZ(t)=eλ(t1),where λ=λ1+λ2G_Z(t) = e^{\lambda(t-1)}, \quad \text{where } \lambda = \lambda_1 + \lambda_2

This shows that ZPo(λ1+λ2)Z \sim \text{Po}(\lambda_1 + \lambda_2)

infoNote

Example 2: Mean and Variance of the Sum of Binomial Random Variables


Problem

Suppose XB(5,0.4)X \sim B(5, 0.4) and YB(7,0.4)Y \sim B(7, 0.4) are independent.

Find the mean and variance of Z=X+YZ=X+Y


Step 1: Write the PGFs of XX and YY

The PGF of a binomial random variable XB(n,p)X \sim B(n, p) is:

GX(t)=[pt+(1p)]nG_X(t) = [pt + (1-p)]^n

For XB(5,0.4)X \sim B(5, 0.4) and YB(7,0.4)Y \sim B(7, 0.4), the PGFs are:

GX(t)=[0.4t+0.6]5,GY(t)=[0.4t+0.6]7G_X(t) = [0.4t + 0.6]^5, \quad G_Y(t) = [0.4t + 0.6]^7

Step 2: Find the PGF of Z=X+YZ=X+Y

Since Z=X+YZ=X+Y and XX and YY are independent, the PGF of ZZ is:

GZ(t)=GX(t)×GY(t)G_Z(t) = G_X(t) \times G_Y(t)

Substitute:

GZ(t)=[0.4t+0.6]5×[0.4t+0.6]7=[0.4t+0.6]12G_Z(t) = [0.4t + 0.6]^5 \times [0.4t + 0.6]^7 = [0.4t + 0.6]^{12}

Step 3: Find the Mean and Variance

For ZB(12,0.4)Z \sim B(12, 0.4)

  • Mean: E[Z]=np=12×0.4=:highlight[4.8]\mathbb{E}[Z] = np = 12 \times 0.4 = :highlight[4.8]
  • Variance: Var(Z)=np(1p)=12×0.4×0.6=:highlight[2.88]\text{Var}(Z) = np(1-p) = 12 \times 0.4 \times 0.6 = :highlight[2.88]

Final Answer:

  • Mean: E[Z]=:highlight[4.8]\mathbb{E}[Z] = :highlight[4.8]
  • Variance: Var(Z)=:highlight[2.88]\text{Var}(Z) = :highlight[2.88]
infoNote

Example 3: Transformation of a Geometric Random Variable


Problem

Suppose XGeom(0.5)X \sim \text{Geom}(0.5)

Let Z=2XZ = 2X. Find the PGF of ZZ.


Step 1: Write the PGF of XX

For XGeom(p)X \sim \text{Geom}(p), the PGF is:

GX(t)=p1(1p)t,t<11pG_X(t) = \frac{p}{1-(1-p)t}, \quad |t| < \frac{1}{1-p}

Substitute p=0.5p = 0.5

GX(t)=0.510.5tG_X(t) = \frac{0.5}{1-0.5t}

Step 2: Apply the Scaling Transformation

For Z=2XZ = 2X, the PGF of ZZ is:

GZ(t)=GX(t2)G_Z(t) = G_X(t^2)

Substitute GX(t)G_X(t)

GZ(t)=0.510.5t2G_Z(t) = \frac{0.5}{1-0.5t^2}

Final Answer:

The PGF of ZZ is:

GZ(t)=0.510.5t2G_Z(t) = \frac{0.5}{1-0.5t^2}

Note Summary

infoNote

Common Mistakes

  1. Forgetting independence: The product of PGFs applies only to independent random variables.
  2. Incorrect application of transformations: Ensure the correct form is used for scaling or shifts.
  3. Neglecting parameter changes: For sums, verify whether distribution parameters (e.g., λ\lambda or nn) are additive.
infoNote

Key Formulas

  1. Sum of Independent Random Variables:
GZ(t)=GX(t)×GY(t)G_Z(t) = G_X(t) \times G_Y(t)
  1. Scaling Transformation:
GZ(t)=GX(ta),for Z=aXG_Z(t) = G_X(t^a), \quad \text{for } Z = aX
  1. Shifted Sum Transformation:
GZ(t)=tcGX(t),for Z=X+cG_Z(t) = t^c G_X(t), \quad \text{for } Z = X + c
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