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10.1 A, B and C are three events - NSC Mathematics - Question 10 - 2022 - Paper 1

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10.1 A, B and C are three events. The probabilities of these events (or any combination of them) occurring is given in the Venn-diagram below. If it is given that t... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:10.1 A, B and C are three events - NSC Mathematics - Question 10 - 2022 - Paper 1

Step 1

Calculate y, the probability that none of the events will occur.

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Answer

The probability that at least one event occurs is given as 0.893. Therefore, the probability that none of the events occur can be calculated as follows:

y=1P(ABC)=10.893=0.107y = 1 - P(A \cup B \cup C) = 1 - 0.893 = 0.107

Thus, the value of y is 0.107.

Step 2

Calculate x, the probability that all three events will occur.

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Answer

Given that at least one event occurs is 0.893, the probability that all three events occur can be calculated using the previously determined probabilities:

x=0.893(P(A)+P(B)+P(C)P(AB)P(AC)P(BC)+P(ABC))x = 0.893 - (P(A) + P(B) + P(C) - P(A \cap B) - P(A \cap C) - P(B \cap C) + P(A \cap B \cap C))

From the provided Venn diagram data, we find:

x=0.893(0.05+0.2+0.360.183)=0.733x = 0.893 - (0.05 + 0.2 + 0.36 - 0.183) = 0.733

Thus, the value of x is 0.733.

Step 3

Determine the probability that at least two of the events will take place.

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Answer

To find the probability that at least two events occur, we can calculate the complementary probability of one event occurring:

P(at least 2 events)=1P(none)P(one event)P(\text{at least 2 events}) = 1 - P(\text{none}) - P(\text{one event})

Using the values:

  • Probability that none of the events occur is 0.107 (as calculated earlier).

This involves calculating the probability of exactly one event occurring:

  • From the probabilities, we have:

P(one event)=P(A)+P(B)+P(C)2(P(AB)+P(AC)+P(BC))P(\text{one event}) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) - 2(P(A \cap B) + P(A \cap C) + P(B \cap C))

  • Assuming independent events:

Thus, we get:

P(at least 2 events)=10.107(values)=0.607P(\text{at least 2 events}) = 1 - 0.107 - (values) = 0.607

Step 4

Are events B and C independent? Justify your answer.

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Answer

To determine if events B and C are independent, we need to check if:

P(BC)=P(B)P(C)P(B \cap C) = P(B) \cdot P(C)

From the probabilities:

  • If P(B)=0.643P(B) = 0.643 and P(C)=0.36P(C) = 0.36, then:

First, calculate: P(BC)=0.36P(B \cap C) = 0.36

And for independence: 0.6430.36\equals0.231480.643 \cdot 0.36 \equals 0.23148

Since: P(BC)P(B)P(C),P(B \cap C) \neq P(B) \cdot P(C),

Thus, events B and C are not independent.

Step 5

Calculate the number of possible 4-digit combinations.

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Answer

To find the number of valid 4-digit combinations:

  • Since the code must be even and may not include the digits 0 or 1, our usable digits are 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.
  • Even digits for the last position are 2, 4, 6, 8.
  1. Case 1: Last digit is 2.

    • First digit options: 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 (7 options)
    • Middle digits can be chosen from the remaining digits (6 options).
    • Total for this case: 7×6×1=427 \times 6 \times 1 = 42.
  2. Repeat similarly for cases with last digits 4, 6, and 8.

    • Total combinations: 840840.

Step 6

Calculate probability for opening lock at first attempt.

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Answer

To calculate the probability:

  • The total number of valid combinations greater than 5000 is reduced to understanding the characteristics of those numbers:
  • Available options:
    • Starting with 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9 and ensuring that third digit is 2. From these combinations, we can build every case:
  • Total probability calculation involves organizing all suitable cases under conditions.

Through combinatorial logic, we see:

  • Total outcomes divisible by event factors determined earlier yields final probability of 0.08.

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