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The heights of a population of women are normally distributed with mean $\mu$ cm and standard deviation $\sigma$ cm - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 1

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The heights of a population of women are normally distributed with mean $\mu$ cm and standard deviation $\sigma$ cm. It is known that 30% of the women are taller tha... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:The heights of a population of women are normally distributed with mean $\mu$ cm and standard deviation $\sigma$ cm - Edexcel - A-Level Maths Statistics - Question 7 - 2010 - Paper 1

Step 1

Sketch a diagram to show the distribution of heights represented by this information.

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Answer

The diagram should depict a bell-shaped curve indicating a normal distribution. The vertical axis represents the probability density, while the horizontal axis represents the height in centimeters. Mark the points for 154 cm (5th percentile) and 172 cm (70th percentile) accordingly. Indicate the area under the curve to the left of 154 cm as 0.05 and to the right of 172 cm as 0.30.

Step 2

Show that $\mu = 154 + 1.6449\sigma$.

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Answer

Using the information provided, we can derive the equation:
Given P(X<154)=0.05P(X < 154) = 0.05, we get:
z=154μσ=1.6449z = \frac{154 - \mu}{\sigma} = -1.6449
This implies that:
154μ=1.6449σ154 - \mu = -1.6449\sigma
Rearranging, we find:
μ=154+1.6449σ\mu = 154 + 1.6449\sigma

Step 3

Obtain a second equation and hence find the value of $\mu$ and the value of $\sigma$.

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Answer

We know that 30% of the women are taller than 172 cm, thus P(X>172)=0.30P(X > 172) = 0.30, which implies P(X<172)=0.70P(X < 172) = 0.70.
By using the z-score for this percentile:
z=172μσ=0.524 (approximately)z = \frac{172 - \mu}{\sigma} = 0.524 \text{ (approximately)}
This leads us to the equation:
172μ=0.524σ172 - \mu = 0.524\sigma
We now have a system of two equations:

  1. μ=154+1.6449σ\mu = 154 + 1.6449\sigma
  2. 172μ=0.524σ172 - \mu = 0.524\sigma
    Substituting the first equation into the second allows us to solve for μ\mu and σ\sigma. After solving, we find: μ167.65 and σ8.30\mu \approx 167.65 \text{ and } \sigma \approx 8.30

Step 4

Find the probability that she is taller than 160 cm.

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Answer

To find the probability that a woman chosen at random is taller than 160 cm, we find:
P(Taller than 160)=P(Z>160μσ)P(Taller \ than\ 160) = P(Z > \frac{160 - \mu}{\sigma})
Calculating the z-score: z=160167.658.300.91z = \frac{160 - 167.65}{8.30} \approx -0.91
Utilizing standard normal distribution tables, we find: P(Z>0.91)=0.8186 (approximately)P(Z > -0.91) = 0.8186 \text{ (approximately)}
Thus, the probability that a randomly chosen woman is taller than 160 cm is approximately 0.82.

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