The President of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, has outlined his intentions to increase the ECB's base interest rate from its historic low of 0% - Leaving Cert Economics - Question b - 2019
Question b
The President of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, has outlined his intentions to increase the ECB's base interest rate from its historic low of 0%.
Given t... show full transcript
Worked Solution & Example Answer:The President of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, has outlined his intentions to increase the ECB's base interest rate from its historic low of 0% - Leaving Cert Economics - Question b - 2019
Step 1
Reduced investment
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Answer
An increase in the base interest rate will lead to increases in high street bank lending rates. This rise may discourage businesses from borrowing, as higher costs of capital can deter investment in new projects and equipment. Consequently, businesses may delay or reduce their investments, leading to stagnation in growth.
Step 2
Increased cost of borrowing/ Increases in mortgage interest payments
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As the interest rate increases, the cost of borrowing will also rise. Individuals and businesses looking to take loans for personal or capital purposes will face higher repayments. For homeowners, increased mortgage payments can strain household budgets, potentially reducing disposable income and consumer spending.
Step 3
Increased incentive to save
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While higher interest rates may benefit savers, they can lead to reduced consumption as people choose to save more for the future. This shift can dampen consumer spending, which is a significant driver of economic growth, thereby negatively impacting businesses that rely on consumer expenditure.
Step 4
Slowing economic growth/ reduced investment
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With consumers spending less and businesses hesitant to invest due to higher borrowing costs, overall economic activity may slow. A decline in investment can affect job creation and reduce demand for goods and services in the economy, leading to a potential downturn.
Step 5
Rising unemployment
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As businesses cut back on investment and face reduced consumer demand, the risk of rising unemployment increases. This situation is concerning, as fewer jobs can lead to less disposable income in the economy, further curtailing spending and growth.
Step 6
Risk of personal bankruptcies due to default on loans
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If interest rates rise, borrowers may struggle to meet higher repayment obligations, leading to an increased risk of defaults. This could trigger a wave of personal bankruptcies, which not only impacts the individuals involved but can also destabilize the financial system and reduce lending capacity among banks.
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