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Question b
Outline possible positive and negative economic consequences of a Government Current Budget Surplus. (25 marks)
Step 1
Answer
Reduced inflationary pressures: The government is withdrawing more money from the economy than it is putting in. This tends to have a deflationary effect, helping to control inflation.
Managing our finances: With a budget surplus, the government has the opportunity to manage its finances better, leading to increased confidence in the economy and enhanced potential for economic investments.
Adhering to EU guidelines: A surplus aids in compliance with EU fiscal rules, which fosters greater stability and can potentially attract foreign investments.
Scope for taxation reforms: The existence of a surplus indicates that there is room for potential tax reforms, allowing the government to implement policies that may benefit certain economic activities.
Uses of increased government revenue: A surplus allows the government to invest in critical areas such as infrastructure and public services without needing to raise further taxes.
Step 2
Answer
Rise in conflicting expectations: Stakeholders may have different expectations regarding how the surplus should be utilized, leading to potential conflicts.
Public Sector Workers: The surplus may create unsustainable wage expectations among public sector workers, which could lead to budgetary constraints in the future.
Tax reductions: Citizens might demand tax reductions, and taxpayers may feel that they are over-contributing, thus affecting public services provision.
Discontinuity in Social Partnership: A surplus might lead to tensions between social partners, risking cooperation that is beneficial for economic stability.
Government financial planning: Relying on surpluses can lead to planning that is overly optimistic, potentially causing problems when unexpected expenditures arise.
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