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Outline possible positive and negative economic consequences of a Government Current Budget Surplus - Leaving Cert Economics - Question b - 2006

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Outline possible positive and negative economic consequences of a Government Current Budget Surplus. (25 marks)

Worked Solution & Example Answer:Outline possible positive and negative economic consequences of a Government Current Budget Surplus - Leaving Cert Economics - Question b - 2006

Step 1

Positive Consequences of a Government Current Budget Surplus

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Answer

  1. Reduced inflationary pressures: The government is withdrawing more money from the economy than it is putting in. This tends to have a deflationary effect, helping to control inflation.

  2. Managing our finances: With a budget surplus, the government has the opportunity to manage its finances better, leading to increased confidence in the economy and enhanced potential for economic investments.

  3. Adhering to EU guidelines: A surplus aids in compliance with EU fiscal rules, which fosters greater stability and can potentially attract foreign investments.

  4. Scope for taxation reforms: The existence of a surplus indicates that there is room for potential tax reforms, allowing the government to implement policies that may benefit certain economic activities.

  5. Uses of increased government revenue: A surplus allows the government to invest in critical areas such as infrastructure and public services without needing to raise further taxes.

Step 2

Negative Consequences of a Government Current Budget Surplus

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Answer

  1. Rise in conflicting expectations: Stakeholders may have different expectations regarding how the surplus should be utilized, leading to potential conflicts.

  2. Public Sector Workers: The surplus may create unsustainable wage expectations among public sector workers, which could lead to budgetary constraints in the future.

  3. Tax reductions: Citizens might demand tax reductions, and taxpayers may feel that they are over-contributing, thus affecting public services provision.

  4. Discontinuity in Social Partnership: A surplus might lead to tensions between social partners, risking cooperation that is beneficial for economic stability.

  5. Government financial planning: Relying on surpluses can lead to planning that is overly optimistic, potentially causing problems when unexpected expenditures arise.

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