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Data on earnings were published for a particular country - Leaving Cert Mathematics - Question 9 - 2016

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Data on earnings were published for a particular country. The data showed that the annual income of people in full-time employment was normally distributed with a me... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:Data on earnings were published for a particular country - Leaving Cert Mathematics - Question 9 - 2016

Step 1

Find the percentage of full-time workers who will be liable for this tax, correct to one decimal place.

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Answer

To find the percentage of full-time workers liable for the new tax, we start by standardizing the income threshold of €60,000 using the normal distribution formula:

Mean (μ) = €39,400 Standard Deviation (σ) = €12,920

We calculate the z-score:

z=xμσ=6000039400129201.59z = \frac{x - μ}{σ} = \frac{60000 - 39400}{12920} \approx 1.59

Next, we find the probability of earning more than €60,000:

P(X>60000)=1P(Z<1.59)P(X > 60000) = 1 - P(Z < 1.59)

Using z-tables, we find:

P(Z<1.59)0.9429    P(X>60000)0.0571P(Z < 1.59) \approx 0.9429 \implies P(X > 60000) \approx 0.0571

Thus, the percentage of full-time workers liable for this tax is:

0.05711005.7%6%0.0571 * 100 \approx 5.7\% \Rightarrow 6\%.

Step 2

Find the level of income at which the government will stop paying the subsidy, correct to the nearest euro.

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Answer

To find the income level for the lowest 10% of income earners, we need to determine the z-score that corresponds to the 10th percentile:

From z-tables, we find:

z10%1.28z_{10\%} \approx -1.28

Now we convert the z-score back to the raw score using the mean and standard deviation:

x=μ+zσ=39400+(1.28)(12920)22862.4022,862x = μ + zσ = 39400 + (-1.28)(12920) \approx 22862.40 \Rightarrow €22,862.

Step 3

Test the hypothesis, at the 5 % level of significance, that the mean annual income of full-time workers has changed since the national data were published. State the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis. Give your conclusion in the context of the question.

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Answer

Let:

  • Null Hypothesis (H₀): The mean income of full-time workers has not changed, i.e., H₀: μ = 39400
  • Alternative Hypothesis (H₁): The mean income has changed, i.e., H₁: μ ≠ 39400

We calculate the test statistic:

Sample mean (x̄) = €38,280, n = 1000

z=xˉμσ/n=382803940012920/ext10002.74z = \frac{x̄ - μ}{\sigma/\sqrt{n}} = \frac{38280 - 39400}{12920/ ext{√}1000} \approx -2.74

At the 5% significance level, we refer to the z-table: The critical z-values are approximately -1.96 and +1.96. Since -2.74 < -1.96, we reject the null hypothesis. This suggests there is significant evidence that the mean income has changed since the national data were published.

Step 4

Create a 95 % confidence interval for the mean income of full-time farmers.

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Answer

To create a 95% confidence interval for the mean income of full-time farmers, we use the sample mean (x̄) and standard deviation (σ) to compute the interval:

Mean income: €26,974 Standard deviation: €5,120 Sample size: n = 400

a) Calculate the margin of error:

E=z0.025×σn=1.96×5120400=1.96×256=502.86E = z_{0.025} \times \frac{σ}{\sqrt{n}} = 1.96 \times \frac{5120}{\sqrt{400}} = 1.96 \times 256 = 502.86

b) The confidence interval is:

26,974502.86μ26,974+502.8626,974 - 502.86 \leq μ \leq 26,974 + 502.86

Thus, the interval is:

[26,471.14,27,476.86][26,471.14, 27,476.86].

Step 5

Give one reason why they might create a sampling distribution of the means of all these samples.

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Answer

One reason for creating a sampling distribution of means from large random samples is to ensure a normal distribution of data, which allows for valid statistical inference. The Central Limit Theorem states that the means of large enough samples will approximate a normal distribution, regardless of the original data's distribution. This enables accurate estimation of parameters and hypothesis testing.

Step 6

Find the value of n.

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Answer

To find the sample size (n) required for a given margin of error (E) at a certain confidence level:

Given:

  • Margin of error (E) = 4.5% = 0.045
  • We use the formula for margin of error:

E=z×σnE = z \times \frac{σ}{\sqrt{n}}

Assuming a 95% confidence level, z ≈ 1.96:

0.045=1.96×1n0.045 = 1.96 \times \frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}

Rearranging gives:

n=1.960.045    n=(1.960.045)2493.827\sqrt{n} = \frac{1.96}{0.045} \implies n = \left(\frac{1.96}{0.045}\right)^2 \approx 493.827

Thus, rounding to the nearest whole number, we find n ≈ 494.

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