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A motoring magazine collected data on cars on a particular stretch of road - Leaving Cert Mathematics - Question 8 - 2019

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A motoring magazine collected data on cars on a particular stretch of road. Certain details on 800 cars were recorded. (i) The ages of the 800 cars were recorded. 1... show full transcript

Worked Solution & Example Answer:A motoring magazine collected data on cars on a particular stretch of road - Leaving Cert Mathematics - Question 8 - 2019

Step 1

Find the proportion of new cars on this road

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Answer

To determine the proportion of new cars:

  1. Calculate the proportion of new cars: P=174800=0.217P = \frac{174}{800} = 0.217
  2. Calculate the standard error: SE=P(1−P)n=0.217(1−0.217)800SE = \sqrt{\frac{P(1-P)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.217(1-0.217)}{800}}
  3. Calculate the 95% confidence interval: CI=P±1.96×SECI = P \pm 1.96 \times SE
  4. The calculated confidence interval gives: The resulting interval for the proportion of new cars is approximately between 0.1889 and 0.2461, or 18.89% < p < 24.61%.

Step 2

What proportion of cars would you expect to find travelling at over 95 km per hour?

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Answer

To find the proportion of cars traveling over 95 km/h, we need to calculate the z-score:

  1. First, find the z-score for 95 km/h: z=95−87.312=0.5617z = \frac{95 - 87.3}{12} = 0.5617
  2. Now, calculate the probability: P(Z>0.5617)=1−P(Z≤0.5617)≈1−0.7133=0.2867P(Z > 0.5617) = 1 - P(Z \leq 0.5617) \approx 1 - 0.7133 = 0.2867
  3. Therefore, we would expect approximately 28.67% of cars to be traveling over 95 km/h.

Step 3

Find the speed at which this driver was recorded.

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Answer

We need to find the speed corresponding to the 70th percentile, where 70% of speeds were higher:

  1. To find this, determine the z-score for 70%: z=0.524z = 0.524
  2. Now, use the z-score formula to find the speed: 0.524=x−87.3120.524 = \frac{x - 87.3}{12} leading to:
    x=z⋅12+87.3≈81.06 km/hx = z \cdot 12 + 87.3 \approx 81.06 \text{ km/h}
  3. Therefore, the speed is approximately 81 km/h when rounded to the nearest whole number.

Step 4

Give a reason based on the p-value.

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Answer

Given the p-value of 0.024, which is less than 0.05, we reject the null hypothesis. This suggests there is significant evidence to conclude that the average speed had changed.

Step 5

Find the average speed of the cars in this sample.

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Answer

To find the average speed given that it is lower than 87.3 km/h:

  1. Use the z-score formula: z=x−87.312/100=−2.26 (using normal distribution)z = \frac{x - 87.3}{12/\sqrt{100}} = -2.26 \text{ (using normal distribution)}
  2. Re-arranging gives: −2.26=x−87.31.2  ⟹  x=87.3−2.26×1.2≈84.6-2.26 = \frac{x - 87.3}{1.2} \implies x = 87.3 - 2.26 \times 1.2 \approx 84.6
  3. Thus, the average speed is approximately 84.6 km/h, rounded to 1 decimal place.

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