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Terminology Simplified Revision Notes

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Terminology

Overview

Understanding the terminology of probability is essential for solving problems and interpreting outcomes. Below are key terms and concepts:

Probability Terminology

Experiment

An experiment is an activity or process that produces outcomes.

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Example: Rolling a die or flipping a coin.

Outcome

An outcome is a possible result of an experiment.

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Example: Rolling a 4 on a die or flipping a "heads."

Sample Space (SS)

  • The sample space is the set of all possible outcomes of an experiment.
  • For a coin, S={Heads,Tails}S = \{\text{Heads}, \text{Tails}\}
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Example: For a die, S={1,2,3,4,5,6} S = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}

Event

An event is a subset of the sample space, consisting of one or more outcomes.

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Example: Rolling an even number on a die (E={2,4,6}E = \{2, 4, 6\}).

Probability

  • The probability of an event measures the likelihood of the event occurring, given by:
P(E)=Number of favourable outcomesTotal number of outcomes in SP(E) = \frac{\text{Number of favourable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes in } S}
  • Probability values range from 0 (impossible event) to 1 (certain event).

Mutually Exclusive Events

Events are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur simultaneously.

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Example: Rolling a 3 and a 4 on a single roll of a die.

Independent Events

Events are independent if the outcome of one event does not affect the outcome of another.

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Example: Flipping a coin twice—getting "heads" on the first flip does not influence the second flip.

Dependent Events

Events are dependent if the outcome of one event affects the outcome of another.

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Example: Drawing cards without replacement from a deck.

Complement of an Event

The complement of an event E(E)E (E') consists of all outcomes in the sample space that are not in EE.

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Example: If E={2,4,6}E = \{2, 4, 6\} when rolling a die, E={1,3,5}E' = \{1, 3, 5\}

Conditional Probability

The conditional probability of event AA given event BB is:

P(AB)=P(AB)P(B),P(B)>0P(A | B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}, \quad P(B) > 0
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Example: The probability of drawing an ace from a deck given that the card is a spade.

Random Variable

A random variable assigns a numerical value to each outcome of an experiment.

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Example: In rolling a die, let XX be the number rolled.

Discrete vs. Continuous Probability

  • Discrete Probability: Deals with countable outcomes (e.g., rolling a die).
  • Continuous Probability: Deals with outcomes over a range (e.g., time taken to complete a task).
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