Using Predictions in Various Situations (Grade 12 NSC Matric Mathematical Literacy): Flashcards

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Using Predictions in Various Situations
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Basis of weather forecasts

Probability

What % in weather forecast represents

Likelihood based on historical patterns

Meteorologists definition

Scientists who study and predict weather patterns

4 weather characteristics measured by instruments

Temperature, air pressure, humidity, wind speed/direction

Complement of 80% chance of rain

20% (since 100%−80%=20%100\% - 80\% = 20\%)

Key function of weather forecasts

Provide probabilistic info, not absolute certainty

Improve predictions: data collection method

Collect more data over longer time periods

Improve predictions: measurement method

Better instruments and technology

Improve predictions: analysis method

Enhanced data analysis with better computers

What forecast % represent

Historical patterns, not guarantees

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