Further Probability (A Level only) (Edexcel A-Level Mathematics): Flashcards

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Probability Formulae
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What is the basic formula for probability?

P(A)=Number of favorable outcomesTotal outcomesP(A) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total outcomes}}

How to calculate complementary probability?

P(A)=1P(A)P(A') = 1 - P(A)

What is the Addition Rule for two events?

P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)

What is the Multiplication Rule for independent events?

P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B)

How is conditional probability defined?

P(AB)=P(AB)/P(B)P(A | B) = P(A \cap B) / P(B)

What does Total Probability indicate?

P(A)=ΣP(Bi)×P(ABi)P(A) = \Sigma P(B_i) \times P(A | B_i) for exhaustive events

Describe Bayes' Theorem.

P(BiA)=P(Bi)×P(ABi)/P(A)P(B_i | A) = P(B_i) \times P(A | B_i) / P(A)

How to find probability of at least one event?

P(at least one)=1P(none)P(\text{at least one}) = 1 - P(\text{none})

Example of probability with a 6-sided die?

P(Rolling a 4)=16P(\text{Rolling a 4}) = \frac{1}{6}

What is P(AB)P(A \cap B) for dependent events?

P(AB)=P(A)×P(BA)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B | A)

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