Further Probability (A Level only) (AQA A-Level Mathematics): Flashcards

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Probability Formulae
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Basic probability formula for event AA

P(A)=FavourableTotalP(A) = \frac{\text{Favourable}}{\text{Total}}

Complementary probability formula

P(A)=1P(A)P(A') = 1 - P(A)

Addition rule for P(AB)P(A \cup B)

P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)

Multiplication rule for independent events AA and BB

P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B)

Multiplication rule for dependent events AA and BB

P(AB)=P(A)×P(BA)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B \mid A)

Conditional probability P(AB)P(A \mid B) formula

P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}

Meaning of P(BA)P(B \mid A)

Probability of BB given AA has occurred

Total probability formula using conditional prob

P(A)=P(Bi)×P(ABi)P(A) = \sum P(B_i) \times P(A \mid B_i)

Bayes' theorem formula

P(BiA)=P(Bi)×P(ABi)P(A)P(B_i \mid A) = \frac{P(B_i) \times P(A \mid B_i)}{P(A)}

Probability of at least one event occurring

P(At least one)=1P(None)P(\text{At least one}) = 1 - P(\text{None})

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