The meaning of probability (Edexcel GCSE Statistics): Flashcards

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Expected frequency
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What is the formula for expected frequency?

Expected frequency = P(A) × number of trials

How do you find probability of an event?

Probability = successful outcomes ÷ total outcomes

What is the probability of rolling >4 on a die?

Probability = 2/6 = 1/3 (numbers 5 and 6)

What does expected frequency NOT tell you?

It does not guarantee actual outcomes in real trials

Why must the expected frequency not exceed total trials?

It wouldn't make sense; can't expect more events than trials

What should you do if your expected frequency is very high?

Ensure it's reasonable — it can't be more than total trials

Key tip: How to handle fractions in calculations?

Use fractions directly without converting to decimals

Exam tip: Why check the reasonableness of your answer?

To ensure the expected frequency makes sense given the trials

Expected rolls >4 in 150 dice rolls?

Expected = (1/3)×150 = 50 rolls

Expected heads in 80 fair coin flips?

Expected = 1/2×80 = 40 heads

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