Expected Value (Leaving Cert Mathematics): Flashcards

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Expected Value
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Expected value represents

Long-term average of random variable

EV measures

Central tendency

EV formula (discrete random variable)

E(X)=∑(x×P(x))E(X) = \sum (x \times P(x))

xx in discrete EV formula

Value of the random variable

P(x)P(x) in discrete EV formula

Probability of xx

EV formula (continuous random variable)

E(X)=∫x×f(x) dxE(X) = \int x \times f(x) \, dx

f(x)f(x) in continuous EV formula

Probability density function of xx

EV vs possible outcomes

Doesn't necessarily equal any single outcome; represents average over repeated trials

EV for a fair game

Zero

EV decision-making areas

Economics, insurance, gambling

EV of fair six-sided die

3.53.5

EV: biased coin (70% heads, H=1, T=0)

0.70.7

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