Electoral Process and Direct Democracy (AQA A-Level Politics): Flashcards

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Voting Behaviour in the USA
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Primacy factors in US voting

Voter profile/demographic characteristics (race, age, religion, etc.)

Recency factors in US voting

Issues, candidate personalities, and campaign effectiveness

Strongest predictor of US voting behaviour

Race

% African-Americans voting for Biden 2020

87%

% white evangelicals voting for Trump 2020

76%

Gender gap in 2020 US election

57% women Biden; 53% men Trump

Realigning election definition

Election where voter groups shift allegiance with lasting changes

Clearest example of realigning election

1932 presidential election

Southern strategy

GOP realignment of conservative white South from Dem to Rep

2016 Rust Belt shift

White blue-collar workers in MI, OH, WI swung to Trump

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