Factors That Affect Electoral Outcomes (AQA A-Level Politics): Flashcards

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Factors That Affect Electoral Outcomes
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6 key factors affecting US electoral outcomes

Incumbency, issues, media, leadership, voter profile, money

2018 congressional incumbents re-elected (%)

90.5%

'Bringing home the bacon' meaning

Securing federal funding/jobs/benefits for district/state

One-term presidents since 1945

Jimmy Carter (1976-80) and Donald Trump (2016-20)

Carville's 1992 campaign slogan about key issue

It's the economy, Stupid!

October surprise definition

News event before Nov. polling influencing election outcome

Nixon-Kennedy 1960 debate: TV vs radio listeners

TV viewers favoured Kennedy; radio listeners favoured Nixon

Trump Twitter followers vs @GOP account (early 2020)

42 million vs 2.4 million

Primacy factors definition

Voter profile characteristics predisposing voting behaviour

Recency factors definition

Issues, candidates, campaign effectiveness shifting votes

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