Two-Party Domination (AQA A-Level Politics): Revision Notes
Two-Party Domination
Understanding two-party dominance in America
The United States has maintained a two-party dominant system since its earliest days, with Republicans and Democrats controlling virtually all elected offices. This pattern remains remarkably consistent despite occasional challenges from third parties and independent candidates.
Key Terminology:
Third parties are political parties other than the Republicans and Democrats, such as the Green Party or the Libertarian Party.
Independent candidates are individuals not affiliated with long-established parties, though they often create their own political organisations, as Ross Perot did with the Reform Party in the 1990s.
Evidence of two-party dominance
The dominance of the two main parties is evident across multiple measures of political representation and electoral success.
Congressional representation shows almost no sustained third-party presence. Third parties and independents rarely maintain continuous representation in Congress or state legislatures. The two nominally independent senators serving in 2021, Angus King and Bernie Sanders, both caucus with the Democrats and face no serious electoral opposition from that party. Sanders even made two unsuccessful bids for the Democrat presidential nomination, demonstrating how independents often work within the two-party framework.
In the House of Representatives, Justin Amash provided the only exception in 2020. However, his case actually reinforces two-party dominance rather than challenging it. Amash was originally elected as a Republican in 2018, left the party in 2019 to become independent, joined the Libertarians in April 2020, and then chose not to seek re-election in November 2020. His political journey illustrates how difficult it is to sustain an independent or third-party position.
Presidential elections demonstrate even clearer two-party dominance. No third-party or independent candidate has directly won any Electoral College votes since George Wallace in 1968. The last significant independent presidential contender was Ross Perot in 1992, who secured approximately 19% of the popular vote but won no Electoral College votes. By 2020, the two-party share of the vote had reached 98%, leaving minimal electoral space for alternatives.
Third-party characteristics further explain their limited success. The two principal third parties in America, the Greens and Libertarians, are relatively recent creations. The Libertarians were founded in 1971, whilst the Greens can trace their history to the 1980s. Most third parties have short lifespans, as political scientist Richard Hofstadter observed:
Many third parties emerge around a single charismatic individual. The American Independent Party (AIP) essentially served as a political vehicle for segregationist ex-Democrat Alabama governor George Wallace. When Wallace returned to the Democrats, the AIP effectively disappeared.
Even high-profile independents typically maintain close associations with major parties. Michael Bloomberg was elected as Republican mayor of New York City, ran and won as independent in 2009 (facing no Republican opponent), but in 2019 spent millions contesting the Democrat presidential nomination rather than running independently. Similarly, Donald Trump chose to pursue the Republican nomination rather than run as an independent, despite being a billionaire with significant personal resources.
Why two-party dominance persists
Several structural and systemic factors reinforce two-party dominance in American politics.
The Electoral System as the Primary Barrier
The first-past-the-post (FPTP) system, used in almost all American elections, creates the most significant barrier to third-party success. This system means that votes for third parties are effectively "wasted votes". A candidate needs only to win more votes than any other single candidate (a plurality) rather than an absolute majority. This makes it extremely difficult for third parties to win seats, even when they secure substantial vote shares.
Maine remains the only state currently using an alternative voting method for congressional elections.
Media access limitations severely restrict third-party visibility. Third parties and independents lack high-profile media presence and rarely participate in televised debates. They are often labelled as extremist or irrelevant, making it difficult to build name recognition and credibility with voters.
Financial barriers pose enormous challenges. Political campaigning in America costs vast sums of money. Third parties struggle to raise funds comparable to the major parties, limiting their ability to advertise, organise, and compete effectively.
Party flexibility within the two major parties reduces the electoral space for alternatives. Both Republicans and Democrats function as "big tent" coalitions, able to accommodate diverse viewpoints. The Democrats can contain self-proclaimed socialists and environmentalists, whilst the Republicans include staunch libertarians. This flexibility allows the main parties to absorb ideas and voters who might otherwise support third parties.
Restrictive ballot access laws in many states create additional obstacles. Third parties must often collect large numbers of signatures or meet other requirements to appear on ballots, whilst major party candidates automatically qualify.
The significance of third parties and independents
Despite their limited electoral success, third parties and independents are not entirely without significance. This remains a contested issue in American politics.
The "spoiler" effect represents the most direct third-party impact on elections. In close races, third parties can influence the final outcome by drawing votes away from major party candidates.
Worked Example: The 2000 Presidential Election
The most prominent recent example of the spoiler effect occurred in 2000, when victory in the Bush-Gore presidential race came down to Florida.
The situation:
- Green Party candidate Ralph Nader secured more votes than Bush's final winning margin
- Bush won Florida by just 537 votes
- Nader received 97,488 votes in Florida
The impact: Had Nader not stood, many of his votes would likely have gone to Gore (given the Green Party's progressive platform aligned more closely with Democrats), potentially making him president instead of Bush. This demonstrates how even a small third-party vote share can decisively influence the outcome of a close election.
Congressional elections can occasionally be directly influenced by independent or third-party candidates. In Maine's 2nd District in 2018, the Republican winner in the first round failed to win the seat when eliminated independent candidates' second preference votes were redistributed under Maine's alternative voting system.
Policy influence provides perhaps the most significant third-party contribution. When third parties advocate policies that prove attractive to voters, these are often adopted by one or both main parties. Ross Perot's pledge for a balanced budget in 1992 influenced subsequent policy debates. More recently, the "Green New Deal" found favour with many progressive Democrats in 2018 and 2020, effectively taking support away from the Green Party by incorporating environmental concerns into mainstream Democratic politics.
However, arguments against third-party significance remain compelling:
- In most presidential elections, third-party and independent candidates fail to make any impact on the final outcome, as occurred in 2012 and 2016
- The prevalence of FPTP across the USA creates a structural barrier that makes third-party votes effectively wasted
- Third parties lack media presence and are rarely able to participate in televised debates, limiting their ability to reach voters
Case study: Third parties and the 2020 election
The 2020 election proved particularly difficult for third parties. Candidates from the two main parties captured 98% of the vote, leaving few electoral scraps for others.
Case Study: Libertarian Impact in 2020
The only significant third-party presence came from the Libertarian Party. Its candidate, Jo Jorgensen, secured more votes in key battleground states than Biden's margin of victory.
The numbers:
- Georgia: Jorgensen gained just under 62,000 votes whilst Biden won the state by fewer than 8,000 votes
- Similar patterns appeared in Arizona and Wisconsin
Analysis: Whilst calculating where these votes would otherwise have gone remains problematic, it is reasonable to assume they might have acted as a potential spoiler to Trump's re-election. This case demonstrates how even minimal third-party support can theoretically influence close elections, though such instances remain exceptional rather than typical.
The incremental role of third parties
Ralph Nader, who ran for president three times (in 2000, 2004 and 2008, twice for the Greens and once as independent), provided an illuminating perspective on third-party significance:
Nader's Perspective on Third-Party Function:
"In this rigged, two-party system, third parties almost never win a national election. It's obvious what our function is in this constricted oligarchy of two corporate-indentured parties — to push hitherto taboo issues onto the public stage, to build for a future, to get a young generation in, keep the progressive agenda alive, push the two parties a little bit on this issue and that."
Nader's observation suggests the main significance of third-party and independent candidates lies in their incremental influence on the two main parties rather than direct electoral success. In a political system that allows independent political operators to run and win major party nominations, where parties remain partially "big tent", ballot access laws are often restrictive, a majoritarian electoral system prevails, and political campaigning costs enormous sums, third parties struggle even to have their voices heard, let alone their candidates elected.
This incremental influence operates by introducing new issues or perspectives into political debate, which major parties may subsequently adopt. Third parties serve as testing grounds for policy ideas, pushing boundaries and advocating positions that major parties might initially consider too radical or risky. Over time, successful ideas migrate from the margins to the mainstream.
Remember!
Key Points about Two-Party Domination:
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The USA maintains a two-party dominant system with Republicans and Democrats controlling virtually all elected offices since the nation's founding
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No third-party or independent candidate has won Electoral College votes since George Wallace in 1968; in 2020, the two-party vote share reached 98%
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The first-past-the-post (FPTP) electoral system creates the primary structural barrier to third-party success, making votes for minor parties effectively "wasted votes"
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Third parties can occasionally act as "spoilers" in close elections (e.g. Ralph Nader in Florida 2000), but their main significance lies in incremental influence — pushing new issues and policies onto the public agenda that major parties later adopt
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Both major parties function as "big tent" coalitions capable of absorbing diverse viewpoints, reducing the electoral space available for third parties