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12 cards from this deck
Visual tool for probability with multiple events
1
Multiply probabilities along the path
All end probabilities must sum to 1
Add relevant end probabilities together
Remain the same for each selection
Each selection is independent of previous ones
Change after each selection
Conditional probabilities
1−P(none)1 - P(\text{none})1−P(none)
Multiply along branches, add across outcomes
With: same probabilities; without: probabilities change
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